Inflation Isn’t Down—It’s Just Counting on Selective Memory

“We had inflation, but we’ve got that down” works great as a campaign slogan—until you do the CPI year-over-year check the way a functioning adult would, and the number goes up from 3.0% (Jan 2025) to 3.8% (April 2025). The politics want “down” to mean “vibes,” but the grocery math keeps submitting reality as evidence.

Institutions love this game because headlines reward confidence, not accuracy, and because every press cycle is faster than every household budget. I’ve got a library card, not a crystal ball: if the spreadsheet won’t cooperate, leadership can’t either—so the bill gets paid, and the public becomes the unpaid fact-check department.